We’re down to the final hours of the 2026 general election campaign. Polls have been issued and prognosticators have weighed in.
Where do things stand in Pennsylvania’s big four congressional races as of 11:45 AM on October 29?
| Congressional District | Cook Political Report | Decision Desk HQ | Inside Elections | Sabato’s Crystal Ball | Vote Hub |
| PA-01 (Fitzpatrick v. Harvie) | Lean R | Toss-Up | Lean R | Toss-Up | Tilt R |
| PA-07 (Mackenzie v. Brooks) | Lean D | Likely D | Tilt D | Leans D | Likely D |
| PA-08 (Bresnahan v. Cognetti) | Toss-Up | Toss-Up | Tilt D | Leans D | Lean D |
| PA-10 (Perry v. Stelson) | Lean D | Lean D | Toss-Up | Leans D | Lean D |
What are the prediction markets saying? Prediction markets are online platforms where participants buy and sell shares or contracts tied to the outcome of future events, such as elections.
| Congressional District | Prediction Edge | Polymarket | Kalshi |
| PA-01 (Fitzpatrick v. Harvie) | Fitzpatrick 60-40% | Fitzpatrick 56-46% | Fitzpatrick 52-48% |
| PA-07 (Mackenzie v. Brooks) | Brooks 72-28% | Brooks 86-15% | Brooks 85-15% |
| PA-08 (Bresnahan v. Cognetti) | Cognetti 86-14% | Cognetti 87-14% | Cognetti 87-13% |
| PA-10 (Perry v. Stelson) | Stelson 80-20% | Stelson 82-19% | Stelson 83-20% |
